Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.928840 4.686081 5.529732 6.536380 7.701704 9.005074 10.569869
2025-08-24 2.838563 3.807717 4.999541 6.560764 8.538236 10.944598 14.077696
2025-08-31 2.177801 3.223214 4.618014 6.588177 9.267456 12.747739 17.567094
2025-09-07 1.706226 2.754055 4.254990 6.516287 9.780745 14.256155 20.772498
2025-09-14 1.310831 2.295435 3.801985 6.209515 9.876911 15.151083 23.175620
2025-09-21 1.078671 2.031958 3.578461 6.180432 10.331840 16.550160 26.368057
2025-09-28 0.898373 1.813174 3.380719 6.146511 10.749583 17.902346 29.575545
2025-10-05 0.822936 1.761301 3.445145 6.536211 11.862828 20.391891 34.689406
2025-10-12 0.730886 1.658980 3.402482 6.730147 12.662058 22.439278 39.255756
2025-10-19 0.664166 1.592415 3.411656 7.009843 13.624090 24.813632 44.506528
2025-10-26 0.576184 1.463774 3.282285 7.014531 14.095468 26.397327 48.558475
2025-11-02 0.477805 1.291439 3.038839 6.767213 14.077350 27.131066 51.216137
2025-11-09 0.394926 1.138360 2.814270 6.534340 14.074153 27.913066 54.061509
2025-11-16 0.342912 1.048340 2.709965 6.531513 14.508793 29.510039 58.452379
2025-11-23 0.300026 0.971635 2.622487 6.550993 14.985412 31.214808 63.148276
2025-11-30 0.257839 0.886382 2.500504 6.477238 15.260954 32.556143 67.260430
2025-12-07 0.210184 0.772688 2.289317 6.171484 15.016302 32.872317 69.467906
2025-12-14 0.182933 0.712834 2.202652 6.142383 15.356438 34.351800 73.975816
2025-12-21 0.159301 0.657923 2.119123 6.108597 15.679926 35.816232 78.540870
2025-12-28 0.154111 0.663626 2.201485 6.496164 16.985954 39.369766 87.429065
2026-01-04 0.142327 0.643226 2.207244 6.689046 17.860780 42.085023 94.794551
2026-01-11 0.134206 0.634115 2.244192 6.967234 18.958424 45.336877 103.423916
2026-01-18 0.119022 0.593792 2.181470 6.971897 19.404362 47.227083 109.370134